Saturday, January 5, 2013

Kim Jong-un’s New Year’s Speech


Excerpt:
It is easy to imagine the answers North Korea wants to hear from President-elect Park, but it may be hard for Park to provide positive answers to all of these questions without defying articulated principles or alienating her conservative base.

And I would add it would be hard for Madam Park t provide the answers the regime wants without undermining the security of the ROK which is always the most dangerous thing when dealing with north Korea.  The ball still remains in the regime's court.  We hear only words and the concrete actions by the regime throughout history to not offer any evidence that the words of the New Year' Day speech will be backed by positive actions in the north.
V/R
Dave


January 05, 2013
By Scott A. Snyder

While many made note of a recent speech by N. Korea's leader, it maybe what Pyongyang wants to hear from S. Korea that might be of real interest.

An annual ritual of North Korea’sis the release of a lengthy propaganda statement on New Year’s Day that serves as guidance and provides a sense of priorities for the coming year.  Under Kim Jong-il, the statement came in the form of a joint New Year’s Day editorial by three leading news organs, but Kim Il-sung gave the speech himself.  Kim Jong-un does not appear to have the same fear of public speaking that his father apparently had, so he gave the speech, which was broadcast on North Korean television, and is available through YouTube (see below). Even though Kim is not afraid to read a speech in front of a camera, the echoing of the room, despite North Korean cutaways to a building accompanied by an applause track, suggests that Kim did not present the speech to a live audience. Curious.

The speech has been panned as a repetition of the same old, same old, here and here, while it was greeted in the South Korean media as potential evidence of North Korean openness to an olive branch from Seoul.  I see the speech as a reiteration of North Korea’s basic conditions for stabilizing the inter-Korean relationship with a conservative South Korean leader, namely, an insistence that “all the compatriots in the north, south and abroad should launch a dynamic struggle to carry out to the letter the June 15 Joint Declaration and October 4 Declaration, great reunification programs common to the nation in the new century and milestones for peace and prosperity.”

In the coming weeks, North Korea will carefully watch the Park Geun-hye transition team and the new administration’s initial articulation of policies toward the North.  The criteria by which the North is likely to judge whether it wants to do business with Park Geun-hye was revealed in a series of questions from aDecember 1st article entitled “Park Geun-hye’s Deceptive Commitments Regarding ‘Policy toward North’ Censured.”
The questions are as follows:
(Continued at the link below)

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